Which art project have we spent the largest amount of cumulative time on? The one thing we can look at or experience and think: "wow, nothing else has taken as much effort as this to make me feel this way". Let's define "art project" broadly as anything that is designed to make people feel rather … Continue reading Humanity’s Largest Art Project
Tag: predictions
Who to ignore (3 bullshit filters)
By Gabriel and Ernest Oppetit Unforseen shit happens. 9/11, the 2008 crash, Brexit, Trump, COVID-19... you know the story. These events surprised us because our information diets are dominated by people who didn’t see them coming. Many of these people are paid for sounding good (or protecting a certain interest), not for being right, so … Continue reading Who to ignore (3 bullshit filters)
Highlights: Superforecasting by Phil Tetlock
From the book cover: In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project – an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions – has since shown that there are, however, … Continue reading Highlights: Superforecasting by Phil Tetlock
